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POST 10/347 : CHIEF DIRECTOR: MODELLING AND FORECASTING

🏢 NATIONAL TREASURY 📍 Pretoria ⏳ Closes: 10 Apr 2026 🧾 Post: 10/347 # Ref: S035/2026 Division: Economic Policy and International Cooperation (EPIC) Purpose: To develop and maintain micro and macroeconomic models for policy analysis and forecasting in the research and analysis of trends in the domestic and international economies, e.g. monetary policy, exchange rate, trade policy, economic growth, balance of payments, investments and the labour market.

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Key details

Salary

R1 494 900 • per annum

Centre

Pretoria

Reference

S035/2026 Division: Economic Policy and International Cooperation (EPIC) Purpose: To develop and maintain micro and macroeconomic models for policy analysis and forecasting in the research and analysis of trends in the domestic and international economies, e.g. monetary policy, exchange rate, trade policy, economic growth, balance of payments, investments and the labour market.

Closing date

10 Apr 2026

Job Highlight

Overview

Lead research and provide expert economic analysis to support government decision-making and policy development on macro and micro-economic issues.

Duties

Conceptualise and conduct research on macro-economic and micro- economic policy: Give technical support to decision-making processes relating to the Division of Revenue between three spheres of government.

Provide analytical support to National Treasury and other government agencies and stakeholders on macro-economic and micro-economic policy matters Identify areas of research for further exploration and integration into policy and relevant strategic initiatives.

Provide comments and analyse cabinet memoranda based on economic models.

Analyse Domestic and International Economic Trends: Provide inputs speeches, briefing notes and presentations on macro and micro issues for the Minister of Finance, Deputy Minister and Director-General.

Engage foreign and domestic investors, ratings agencies and international organisations on the macroeconomic outlook.

Provide a quarterly economic forecast for the economy and provide the way forward regarding the forecasting of tax revenue.

Comment and Assess on Research on South Africa Economic Policy: Comment on IMF Article IV reports and policy papers and reports by ratings agencies, OECD economic assessments and relevant academic research.

Provide qualitative comments and assessments of research on SA economic issues conducted 221 outside the National Treasury.

Provide conceptual outputs of work plan for committees (Stats Sub-committee).

Undertake and oversee technical analysis necessary for the development, maintenance and implementation of local government grants’ frameworks and allocations.

Coordinate all National Treasury views on Economic Policy in a report format.

Share research findings within into committees during meetings.

Develop Presentations for requisite Data, Graphs and Research: Arrange for formal presentations to integrate into policy analysis and budget process.

Provide an economic outlook in presentations for the utilisation of the Director-General and Minister of Finance.

Communicate the views of the Economic Policy and National Treasury to external parties.

Develop and Maintain Models on the Management of Databases: Develop and maintain sets of economic models, including the National Treasury forecasting model, CGE models, small macro models and tax forecasting models.

Improve existing models and concurrently develop new models in response to policy questions and future challenges.

Maintain the security of data models integrity and databases by encrypting information.